Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 06:46 UTC on 3 Jun 2026, Manifold prices “Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?” at 3%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.

Sukbae Lee, Ji-Hoon Kim, Young-Wan Kwon, Hyun-Tak Kim, Sungyeon Im, SooMin An, Keun Ho Auh Any of them win nobel prize before January 1st, 2034. That's a generous 10 years from the time of their claimed discovery. Source for resolution is https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/physics/ [link preview]