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Will a human intentionally kill another human in space by 2050?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 15:29 UTC on 7 Jun 2026, Manifold prices “Will a human intentionally kill another human in space by 2050?” at 42%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Opinion and Kalshi.

42%
vol cum
M15.2k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2049
YES 42¢
NO 58¢

A person must be killed more than 100 kilometres above mean sea level The person doing the killing does not have to be in space Must be intentional, i.e. not an accident or negligence At least two parties must be involved; suicide does not count

timeline
opened · Aug 19, 2023opencloses · Dec 31, 2049
Will a human intentionally kill another human in space by 2050? · prices over time
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