p|datav0.1news250
event10 outcomes

When will Trump serve time?

Manifold·Politics·ends Dec 1, 2029
vol cum
M1.9M
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
10
ends
Dec 1, 2029
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 10

Resolves based on day that his custodial sentence starts, or "never" if he dies without serving a custodial sentence. Markets close will be extended as needed. What counts? Prison, jail or house arrest pre-conviction does not, must be serving a sentence. Prison, jail or house arrest post-conviction counts. Community service, probation, and other non-custodial sentences do not count. It does not count if he is pardoned or otherwise granted clemency before his imprisonment.

magalandus-politics2024-us-presidential-electiondonald-trumptrial-of-the-centurypolitics-default
marketselected outcome
Never
rank #1
United States
91¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M98.5k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 1, 2029
timeline
opened · Jun 29, 2023opencloses · Dec 1, 2029
Never · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata