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event13 outcomes

Which country will be the second one to walk on the moon?

Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2031

As of 11:23 UTC on 15 Jun 2026, “China” leads “Which country will be the second one to walk on the moon?” on Manifold at 94%, followed by “Other” at 2% and “DPRK” at 1%, out of 13 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket.

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M5.9k
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13
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Jan 1, 2031
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The country must lead the mission to the moon, it does not resolve if it is a person of another nationality going on a USA mission. USA will not count. See: @/strutheo/which-country-will-be-the-first-to-a9d233d4f963 See: @/strutheo/which-country-will-be-the-second-to

isrospacespacexmoon-landersartemis-3moonworld-defaultculture-default
marketselected outcome
China
rank #1
ChinaUnited States
94¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M52
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M0
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n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2031
timeline
opened · Apr 1, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2031
China · prices over time
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