Which Country will be First to Successfully land a human that walks on Mars?

Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2081

As of 11:49 UTC on 6 May 2026, “USA” leads “Which Country will be First to Successfully land a human that walks on Mars?” on Manifold at 63%, followed by “China” at 33% and “Other” at 1%, out of 8 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.