Will Elon Musk be the first human to walk on Mars?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 14:10 UTC on 16 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Elon Musk be the first human to walk on Mars?” at 4%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.

If he is the member of a crew of people who touch down at the same time, this still resolves YES See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-ever-walk-on-mars See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-be-alive-on-the-day See: @/strutheo/will-the-first-person-to-walk-on-ma-112ceb82478e