Will Elon Musk ever set foot on Mars?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 08:25 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Elon Musk ever set foot on Mars?” at 11%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.

11%

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M26.6k

vol 24h

M0

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n/a

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Jan 1, 2061

Resolves YES if Elon Musk steps onto the surface of Mars and NO if he dies without ever doing so.