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event5 outcomes

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

Kalshi·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2031

As of 05:27 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 5 markets in “Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?” on Kalshi are “United States” at 57%, “China” at 30% and “Russia” at 2%. The event has $208 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold and Opinion.

vol cum

$185.1k

vol 24h

$208

outcomes

5

ends

Jan 1, 2031

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

United States

rank #1

United StatesChina

57¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$86.5k

vol 24h

$208

spread

0.02

ends

Jan 1, 2031

If United States is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Nov 28, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2031

United States · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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