First to land humans on the moon again?

Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Dec 1, 2036

As of 11:00 UTC on 15 Jun 2026, “China” leads “First to land humans on the moon again?” on Manifold at 42%, followed by “Spacex” at 33% and “NASA” at 19%, out of 8 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Opinion.