pdatanews290
event8 outcomes

When will humans set foot on the moon again?

Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Dec 31, 2029

As of 18:08 UTC on 15 Oct 2026, “2030 or later” leads “When will humans set foot on the moon again?” on Manifold at 40%, followed by “2029” at 35% and “2028” at 22%, out of 8 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold, Opinion and Kalshi.

vol cum
M21.1k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
8
ends
Dec 31, 2029
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 8

When will the next time be at least 1 human sets foot on the moon again? To resolve as Yes, it must happen anytime in that year.

spacexspaceartemis-3
marketselected outcome
2030 or later
rank #1
United States
40¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M786
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2029
timeline
opened · Jul 31, 2023opencloses · Dec 31, 2029
2030 or later · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata