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event9 outcomes

Who lands on the Moon next?

Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2035
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M37.6k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
9
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Jan 1, 2035
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If the next person to successfully land on the moon is a Chinese citizen, resolves "China" If the next person to successfully land on the moon is a US citizen, resolves "US" If multiple people successfully land on the moon at the same time and they have different citizenship, resolves proportionally to those citizenships: 1) 1 US citizen and 1 Chinese citizen would resolve the market 50% China, 50% US, 0% everything else. 2) 1 dual-citizen of US and Canada, and 2 US citizens, would resolve the market 5/6 US, 1/6 Canada, and 0% for everything else) This market will be extended until it can be resolved.

spacexcommercial-spaceflightmoonrocketsspace
marketselected outcome
US
rank #1
United States
53¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M7.3k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2035
timeline
opened · Aug 19, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2035
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