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Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency?

Manifold·Politics
United States
20%
vol cum
M7.4k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2029
YES 20¢
NO 80¢

Will resolve YES if the US Government formally withdraws from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) while Donald J. Trump is acting US President. Resolution will NOT be dependent on A 2/3 Senate super majority or act of Congress if Trump unilaterally withdraws and the Federal courts do not declare such withdrawal unlawful. Update 2025-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Notice of Denunciation Clarification: Sufficient Action: The market will resolve YES if the US sends a formal notice of denunciation to NATO. Waiting Period Irrelevant: The one-year waiting period between the notice and actual withdrawal is not required for a YES outcome.

timeline
opened · Mar 1, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2029
Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency? · prices over time
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