marketsingle market
Will there be a new country before 2028?
Manifold·World
As of 20:55 UTC on 18 Aug 2026, Manifold prices “Will there be a new country before 2028?” at 68%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.
68%
vol cum
M4.9k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2028
YES 68¢
NO 32¢
The country must be internationally recognized [image]
timeline
opened · Feb 22, 2023opencloses · Jan 1, 2028
