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Will AGI be achieved in the next 5 years?

Manifold·Science and Technology
36%
vol cum
M11.9k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 20, 2029
YES 36¢
NO 64¢

AGI existence is determined by general consensus Resolves to YES if general consensus of those who interact with the potential AGI is that it is AGI. Resolves to NO if after 5 years (January 19 2029) it has not resolved to YES.

timeline
opened · Jan 18, 2024opencloses · Jan 20, 2029
Will AGI be achieved in the next 5 years? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
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