Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms?
As of 23:28 UTC on 17 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 21 markets in “Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms?” on Manifold are “Tucker Carlson” at 100%, “Theo Von” at 55% and “Dave Portnoy” at 52%. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Gemini, Manifold and Limitless.
Simple disagreement is not enough to resolve YES - it has to be big enough of a split that one could call them a "trump critic." If I see any of them identified as "trump critic," or otherwise splitting from team Trump in a significant way, that'd be enough to resolve YES. Getting fired and then going on CNN to dish out some juicy dirt would also be enough, for example. Basically - who's gonna burn some friendships? Please do not submit anyone who can already be characterized as a "trump critic," or who has already split from Trump's team due to criticism. This market's resolution is subjective, so I will not bet on this market. In the case that I am unable to resolve this market, I leave it in the hands of any moderator without any shares on this market.
