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Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms?

Manifold·Politics·ends Nov 4, 2026
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Simple disagreement is not enough to resolve YES - it has to be big enough of a split that one could call them a "trump critic." If I see any of them identified as "trump critic," or otherwise splitting from team Trump in a significant way, that'd be enough to resolve YES. Getting fired and then going on CNN to dish out some juicy dirt would also be enough, for example. Basically - who's gonna burn some friendships? Please do not submit anyone who can already be characterized as a "trump critic," or who has already split from Trump's team due to criticism. This market's resolution is subjective, so I will not bet on this market. In the case that I am unable to resolve this market, I leave it in the hands of any moderator without any shares on this market.

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Tucker Carlson
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United States
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opened · Jun 16, 2025opencloses · Nov 4, 2026
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