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event17 outcomes
What do you think will be GPT-5's "hook"?
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M4.6k
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Jan 2, 2031
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Add your predictions. I will not trade heavily (i may make small predictions with 1 mana for myself) because my subjective judgement might come into play. Resolves YES to those that are more or less correct (resolves according to the spirit) or to 50% (if technically true but not in spirit) or to NO (if not true). All predictions will be evaluated upon a release, if there ever is one. Do not submit spam or irrelevant options, those will be N/A'd Inspired by this tweet (by @Mira ) [tweet]If no GPT-5 is released this decade, the market will be N/A'd. You can trade on whether that will happen here: (https://manifold.markets/embed/firstuserhere/will-there-be-a-language-model-by-o)
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Trained on synthetic data
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100¢
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M203
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Jan 2, 2031
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opened · Aug 8, 2025opencloses · Jan 2, 2031
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