Will Elon Musk get more than half of his 2018 $55 billion Tesla pay package
As of 08:16 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Elon Musk get more than half of his 2018 $55 billion Tesla pay package” at 99%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

In a shareholder lawsuit, a Delaware judge struck down Elon Musk’s 2018 $55 billion dollar pay package. This will resolve true if the ruling is overturned on appeal and Elon keeps the original package, or if after the lawsuit is resolved the board/shareholders of Tesla approve a replacement package worth more than $27.5 billion. This will resolve false if the package is not replaced. If there is a future oriented package that also purports to replace 2018 compensation, I will use my best judgement to resolve this market. https://www.theverge.com/2024/1/30/24056177/elon-musk-tesla-tornetta-55-billion-pay-package-rejected