marketsingle market
Will there be WW3 before 2045?
Manifold·World
As of 13:13 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will there be WW3 before 2045?” at 32%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold.

32%
vol cum
M5k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 16, 2050
YES 32¢
NO 68¢
Will resolve as soon as a war involving over 3 continents is considered to be WW3 by the mainstream western media. May resolve yes after 2045 if a war started before (end of) 2045 is called a world war afterwards.
warsworld-defaultgeopoliticsworld-leadersglobal-macroww3-0de6f68758b8
timeline
opened · Aug 1, 2026opencloses · Jan 16, 2050