Will WW3 have begun by 2028?

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27%

· 0.0pp

24h change

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M3.1k

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n/a

ends

Jan 1, 2028

This question will resolve as Yes if, at any time between January 14, 2024 (day of creation of the question) and January 1, 2028, there is a military conflict involving countries representing in totality at least 30% of world GDP in PPP or 50% of world population in any month in which the conflict is ongoing. Thanks to @Jgalt for inspiration of operationalization. Suggestions of refinements are welcome.