1000 american troops inside Iran by EOY?

Manifold·World

United StatesIran

As of 23:20 UTC on 29 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “1000 american troops inside Iran by EOY?” at 12%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Manifold and Polymarket.

Tired of the "technically a Delta force operation would make this resolve yes" invasion markets. Are we REALLY going to invade? This market resolves YES if at any time 1000 or more american soldiers are on the ground in Iran by EOY.