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1000 american troops inside Iran by EOY?

Manifold·World
United StatesIran
11%
vol cum
M13.2k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2026
YES 11¢
NO 89¢

Tired of the "technically a Delta force operation would make this resolve yes" invasion markets. Are we REALLY going to invade? This market resolves YES if at any time 1000 or more american soldiers are on the ground in Iran by EOY.

timeline
opened · Mar 14, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2026
1000 american troops inside Iran by EOY? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
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