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Will Elon Musk be assassinated before the end of Trumps presidency?

Manifold·Politics
United States
3%
vol cum
M43.5k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 20, 2029
YES
NO 97¢

Background Elon Musk is the CEO of multiple high-profile companies including Tesla, SpaceX, and X (formerly Twitter). Donald Trump is currently the presumptive Republican nominee for the 2024 presidential election. If elected, his term would run from January 20, 2025 to January 20, 2029. Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if Elon Musk dies as a result of an intentional act of violence by another person or group before the end of Trump's potential second presidential term (January 20, 2029). The market will resolve NO if: Elon Musk survives through January 20, 2029 Elon Musk dies from natural causes, accident, or suicide Trump does not become president (in this case, the market will resolve NO on January 20, 2025) Considerations While there have been social media discussions and posts about potential threats to Musk's life, there are currently no credible threats according to public information High-profile business leaders and public figures typically have significant security measures in place The market's resolution depends on both Trump winning the presidency and a specific event occurring during his term

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opened · Jan 10, 2025opencloses · Jan 20, 2029
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