Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?

Yes 76% on Manifold as of 21:59 UTC on 6 Oct 2026 for “Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?”. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Kalshi and Limitless.

Manifold·Politics

Germany

marketsingle market

76%

vol cum

M19.9k

vol 24h

spread

n/a

ends

Jan 1, 2030

YES 76¢

NO 24¢

Will resolve YES if the AfD (Alternative for Germany) enters any federal or state government by the year 2030. Extensive polling data here: Neueste Wahlumfragen und Umfragewerte | DAWUM Related market: (https://manifold.markets/embed/Symmetry/will-the-afd-still-exist-by-the-yea)

timeline

opened · Aug 18, 2023opencloses · Jan 1, 2030

Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030? · prices over time

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