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Majority of scientists believe there's life on K2-18 b before 2027?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 09:37 UTC on 10 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Majority of scientists believe there's life on K2-18 b before 2027?” at 5%. The market has M$5.9k in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Opinion.

5%
▼ 0.2pp
24h change
vol cum
M87.5k
vol 24h
M5.9k
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2026
YES 5¢
NO 95¢

Will a rough majority of scientists working in relevant domains believe there are or were living organisms on planet K2-18 b at any time before the start of 2027?

timeline
opened · Apr 16, 2025opencloses · Dec 31, 2026
Majority of scientists believe there's life on K2-18 b before 2027? · prices over time
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