By 2100, will there be scientific consensus supporting the existence of past or present life on Mars?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 00:17 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “By 2100, will there be scientific consensus supporting the existence of past or present life on Mars?” at 37%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.

37%

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M28.4k

vol 24h

M0

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n/a

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Jan 2, 2100

Life must originate before 1971 (can't have arrived via a human prope, though panspermia by other means still qualifies). Resolves with whatever manifold considers scientific consensus in 2100 - the equivalent of today’s "resolves with wikipedia".