Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?

Manifold·World

RussiaEstoniaLatvia

As of 22:51 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?” at 18%. The market has M$10 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Polymarket.

18%

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

M48.9k

vol 24h

M10

spread

n/a

ends

Feb 3, 2029

Resolves YES if Russian ground troops enter at least one of Estonia, Lithuania or Latvia and the AP calls it an "invasion".