Will the Gaza death toll be over 150,000 at the end of the Israel-Hamas war

Manifold·World

IsraelPalestine

As of 00:17 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will the Gaza death toll be over 150,000 at the end of the Israel-Hamas war” at 70%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Polymarket.

I will wait for at least a month after the war ends to try and get more reliable data. I reserve the right to extend the resolve date until reliable data is available.