A humanoid robot kills a human by 2030

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 19:28 UTC on 12 Sep 2026, Manifold prices “A humanoid robot kills a human by 2030” at 51%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold.

51%

vol cum

M2.7k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Jan 2, 2030

Resolves Yes if there's credible news coverage of a humanoid robot causing a human death by 2030. Has to be unaided by other tech. Could be an accident, ie the falling on the person. Must be a humanoid.