marketsingle market
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on Sesame Street by 2030?
Manifold·Culture
As of 15:34 UTC on 26 Jul 2026, Manifold prices “Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on Sesame Street by 2030?” at 3%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

3%
vol cum
M10.9k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2029
YES 3¢
NO 97¢
Eliezer Yudkowsky is an American writer and researcher on artificial intelligence and decision theory. Sesame Street is a long-running educational children’s television series that features Muppets, animation, live action, and celebrity guests. This market resolves as YES if Eliezer Yudkowsky makes an appearance on Sesame Street (as himself or as a character) in any episode that airs before January 1st, 2030. It resolves as NO otherwise.
timeline
opened · Mar 9, 2023opencloses · Dec 31, 2029