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Will a humanoid robot set foot on Mars before a biological human does?

Manifold·Science and Technology
78%
vol cum
M20.5k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2028
YES 78¢
NO 22¢

it has to take a step for it to count Update 2025-13-01 (PST): - If both humanoid robots and biological humans are part of the same mission, the market will resolve as 'yes' if the robots take a step before the humans. (AI summary of creator comment) Update 2025-16-01 (PST): - Humanoid robots with wheels for feet will count as setting foot if they take a step with their wheels or roll on them. (AI summary of creator comment) Update 2025-06-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market close date will be extended as necessary if the events determining the outcome (a humanoid robot or a biological human setting foot on Mars) have not occurred by the current close date.

timeline
opened · Dec 1, 2024opencloses · Dec 31, 2028
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