Will there be an AI CEO by 2040?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 08:24 UTC on 13 Aug 2026, Manifold prices “Will there be an AI CEO by 2040?” at 63%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.

63%

vol cum

M11.6k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Dec 31, 2039

If a Fortune 500 company lists an AI or an AI-run entity as its CEO I will resolve YES. If the company is run by an AI with no obvious human counterpart, I will resolve YES. It won't count if the company also has a human CEO.