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event11 outcomes

What kind of presidents will we have by 2040?

Manifold·Politics·ends Jan 2, 2040

As of 10:39 UTC on 22 Sep 2026, the highest-priced of the 11 markets in “What kind of presidents will we have by 2040?” on Manifold are “First Woman” at 85%, “Second Black” at 63% and “First Jewish” at 55%. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum
M3.8k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
11
ends
Jan 2, 2040
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 11

What characteristics will be true of the US Commander in Chief before Jan 1st, 2040?

jewish-peopleus-politicsfuture-us-presidents2024-us-presidential-electionpresidential-electionpolitics-defaultwomenus-presidents
marketselected outcome
First Woman
rank #1
United States
85¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M100
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 2, 2040
timeline
opened · Mar 23, 2024opencloses · Jan 2, 2040
First Woman · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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