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event6 outcomes

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?

Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Dec 31, 2049

As of 04:48 UTC on 21 Oct 2026, “Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness” leads “Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?” on Manifold at 98% (-1pp in 24h), followed by “Riemann hypothesis” at 1% and “Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture” at 0%, out of 6 outcomes. The event has M$178 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.

vol cum
M17.1k
vol 24h
M178
outcomes
6
ends
Dec 31, 2049
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 6

As judged by the Clay Mathematics Institute.

millenium-prize-problemsmathematics
marketselected outcome
Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness
rank #1
98¢
▼ 0.8pp
24h change
vol cum
M11k
vol 24h
M177
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2049
timeline
opened · Sep 5, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2049
Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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