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In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 08:16 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?” at 45%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold.

45%
vol cum
M10.9k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2029
YES 45¢
NO 55¢

No resolution rules provided by manifold yet.

timeline
opened · Jan 8, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2029
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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