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In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?

Manifold·Science and Technology
78%
· 0.0pp
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vol cum
M291.5k
vol 24h
M3.5k
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 2, 2028
YES 78¢
NO 22¢

Same as the main market but the AI must only be at the level of the worst filmmakers, rather than the best. So instead of a Marvel movie level of quality, think The Room level of quality. That's the yardstick that I will be using. Alternatively it can be any other well-known bad movie, like Birdemic or Who Killed Captain Alex. It doesn't need to have the "so bad it's good" qualities of The Room, but it needs to have a minimally coherent plot structure and cinematography. It must not be too painful for humans to watch the entire thing, and it needs to have the basics like characters say and do things that advance the plot, at least usually. Main market: (https://manifold.markets/embed/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener)

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opened · Jan 28, 2024opencloses · Jan 2, 2028
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt? · prices over time
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