Will the USA fight a major land war by 2035?

Manifold·Politics

United States

As of 11:50 UTC on 19 Jul 2026, Manifold prices “Will the USA fight a major land war by 2035?” at 56%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Limitless.

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Dec 31, 2034

At least 50,000 troops deployed to take part in a war. There must be US tanks, artillery and infantry involved in combat. Borderline cases resolve to "No". See also: @/lukres/will-china-fight-a-major-land-war-b