marketsingle market
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
United StatesMexico

2%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$253k
vol 24h
$26
spread
0.01
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 2¢
No 98¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Mexican land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Mexico or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mexico Cartel WarPoliticsGeopoliticsVenezuelaTrump
timeline
opened · Jan 5, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027