Which party will the winner of the 2028 US Presidential Election be from?
As of 13:17 UTC on 6 Sep 2026, “Democratic Party” leads “Which party will the winner of the 2028 US Presidential Election be from?” on Manifold at 68%, followed by “Republican Party” at 31% and “Other” at 1%, out of 3 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 18 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Kalshi and Gemini.

Update 2025-02-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Resolution Criteria: No Election Scenario: If a US Presidential Election does not occur and everyone is still alive, all Mana will be refunded. Major Global Conflict (WW3): If the world is in a state of widespread conflict (e.g. WW3) or significant disruptions occur, one of the moderators will resolve the market.