p|datav0.1news218
opentrade on Manifold ↗
marketsingle market

Will an AI-created movie have a rating >=7.0 on IMDB by 2028?

Manifold·Science and Technology
43%
vol cum
M3.9k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2028
YES 43¢
NO 57¢

Written, animated, and directed by AI Human prompt and final cut selection allowed

timeline
opened · Dec 3, 2022opencloses · Jan 1, 2028
Will an AI-created movie have a rating >=7.0 on IMDB by 2028? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata
Manifoldmanifold
Will an AI-generated movie be nominated for an Oscar before 2030?
yes12¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Polymarketpolymarket
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
158028¢▼ 3.0pp156036¢▼ 4.5pp160013¢▲ 0.1pp
$1k 24h · 3 markets
Manifoldmanifold
By mid-2027, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
yes10¢· 0.0pp
M107 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
yes29¢▲ 1.6pp
M7.9k 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
yes69¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
yes49¢
M0 24h · 1 market