marketsingle market

Will an AI-created movie have a rating >=7.0 on IMDB by 2028?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 08:16 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will an AI-created movie have a rating >=7.0 on IMDB by 2028?” at 39%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold.

39%

vol cum

M4k

vol 24h

spread

n/a

ends

Jan 1, 2028

YES 39¢

NO 61¢

Written, animated, and directed by AI Human prompt and final cut selection allowed

timeline

opened · Dec 3, 2022opencloses · Jan 1, 2028

Will an AI-created movie have a rating >=7.0 on IMDB by 2028? · prices over time

−24h

now

no price history yet

volume · 24h windows

no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata

manifold

Will an AI-generated movie be nominated for an Oscar before 2030?

yes17¢

M0 24h · 1 market

manifold

By mid-2027, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

yes20¢

M0 24h · 1 market

manifold

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

yes48¢▲ 3.0pp

M4.6k 24h · 1 market

manifold

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?

yes70¢

M0 24h · 1 market

manifold

In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?

yes66¢

M0 24h · 1 market

manifold

In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

yes45¢

M0 24h · 1 market