Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 16:27 UTC on 21 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?” at 11%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.

11%

vol cum

M1.9M

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Jan 1, 2030

To qualify, the material must act as a superconductor above 0C.