Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?

Manifold·Politics

United States

As of 15:56 UTC on 27 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?” at 76%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Manifold, Kalshi, Predict, Opinion and Polymarket.

Resolves to a consensus of media sources. Update 2026-09-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - An independent who caucuses with Democrats will count as a Democrat. The total sum of Democrats and Republicans must equal 435.