Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?

Manifold·Economy

United States

As of 11:50 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?” at 1%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Limitless, Polymarket, Manifold and Kalshi.

1%

vol cum

M101.9k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Jan 1, 2027

Resolves YES if the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee declares, by the end of 2026, US Eastern Time, that the US entered a recession at any point in 2024 or 2025. Resolves NO on 2027-01-01 otherwise.