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Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?

Manifold·Economy
United States
1%
vol cum
M101.9k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2027
YES 1¢
NO 99¢

Resolves YES if the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee declares, by the end of 2026, US Eastern Time, that the US entered a recession at any point in 2024 or 2025. Resolves NO on 2027-01-01 otherwise.

timeline
opened · Feb 19, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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