p|datav0.1news250
opentrade on Manifold ↗
marketsingle market

Will Ray Kurzweil live to see the singularity?

Manifold·Science and Technology
18%
vol cum
M4.2k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Apr 4, 2030
YES 18¢
NO 82¢

No resolution rules provided by manifold yet.

timeline
opened · Mar 28, 2024opencloses · Apr 4, 2030
Will Ray Kurzweil live to see the singularity? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata
Manifoldmanifold
Singularity by 2030?
yes16¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Kalshikalshi
2026 Nobel Physics winner?
Eugene Mele98¢Alexei Kitaev28¢John Preskill20¢· 0.0pp
+21 others
$0 24h · 24 markets
Manifoldmanifold
Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?
yes55¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2040?
yes69¢· 0.0pp
M100 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2100?
yes86¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2030?
yes36¢· 0.0pp
M79 24h · 1 market