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Will the United States conduct a military strike against Cuba in 2026?

Manifold·World
United StatesCuba
28%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M6k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2027
YES 28¢
NO 72¢

This market resolves YES if, before Jan 1, 2027 at 00:00 Cuban local time., the United States conducts a confirmed kinetic strike on Cuban territory or military assets (air, land, naval), including but not limited to: Manned aircraft bombing runs Armed drone strikes Cruise missile strikes (including those launched from naval vessels or submarines) This market does NOT include: Cyber operations Sanctions or economic measures Covert sabotage without widely reported confirmation Resolution will be based on confirmation by the US government or at least two major international news organizations.

timeline
opened · May 23, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
Will the United States conduct a military strike against Cuba in 2026? · prices over time
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