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Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?

Opinion·Business·ends Dec 31, 2026

As of 13:49 UTC on 14 Oct 2026, “Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?” lists 3 markets on Opinion, none with a current price. The event has no Opinion-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?” on Polymarket, an event with 3 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Opinion, Kalshi and Manifold.

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3
ends
Dec 31, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
October 31
rank #1 · closed
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Opus" and be designated as version 5.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.6 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Opus 5 or Claude Opus 5.5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Opus 6, while models whose name does not include "Opus" or which retain a version designation below 5.6, such as Claude Opus 5.5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

timeline
opened · Oct 14, 2026closedresolved · Nov 2, 2026
October 31 · prices over time
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