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event22 outcomes

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 05:36 UTC on 2 Nov 2026, “Anthropic” leads “Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?” on Polymarket at 59% (+9pp in 24h), followed by “Other” at 50% and “OpenAI” at 21% (-29pp in 24h), out of 22 outcomes. The event has $4.4k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Predict and Kalshi.

vol cum
$4.4k
vol 24h
$4.4k
outcomes
22
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 22
AITechLiveBenchRecurringAI Rankings
marketselected outcome
Anthropic
rank #1
59¢
▲ 8.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$571
vol 24h
$571
spread
0.01
ends
Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”

timeline
opened · Nov 1, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
Anthropic · prices over time
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