What is the current probability for "China Annual Inflation 2026"?

Current Polymarket odds for "China Annual Inflation 2026": 1.1 – 1.5% 41%, 1.6 – 2.0% 23%, 0.6 – 1.0% 20% (top 3 of 9 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 1/10/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/150178. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event9 outcomes

China Annual Inflation 2026

·Economy·ends Jan 10, 2027

vol cum

$44.2k

vol 24h

$27

outcomes

ends

Jan 10, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 9

Macro IndicatorsEconomyInflationCPIWorldChina

marketselected outcome

1.1 – 1.5%

rank #1

China

41¢

▼ 2.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$3.6k

vol 24h

spread

0.15

ends

Jan 10, 2027

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

timeline

opened · Jan 22, 2026opencloses · Jan 10, 2027

prices over time · 1.1 – 1.5% highlighted

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history