event3 outcomes

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 19:08 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 3 markets in “Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31” at 3% (+1pp in 24h), “March 31” at 0% and “April 30” at 0%. The event has $706 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.

vol cum

$7.8M

vol 24h

$706

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

US-IranIsraelIranGeopoliticsPoliticsMiddle EastWorldTrump Presidency

marketselected outcome

December 31

rank #1

United StatesIran

3¢

▲ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$861.4k

vol 24h

$706

spread

0.02

ends

Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.

timeline

opened · Jan 12, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027

December 31 · prices over time

−24h

now

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no volume history