marketsingle market
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

3%
▼ 0.2pp
24h change
vol cum
$21.3k
vol 24h
$4
spread
0.02
ends
Dec 31, 2026
Yes 3¢
No 97¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Adam Back is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to, verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence. If Satoshi Nakamoto is conclusively identified as a group or collective rather than a single individual, definitive evidence that Adam Back was a member of that group will qualify. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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opened · Apr 9, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2026