Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
As of 20:48 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?” at 2%. The market has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Manifold, Kalshi, Opinion and Limitless.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Adam Back is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to, verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence. If Satoshi Nakamoto is conclusively identified as a group or collective rather than a single individual, definitive evidence that Adam Back was a member of that group will qualify. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
