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China ballistic missile launch by December 31?

Polymarket·Politics
China
18%
vol cum
$9.5k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.02
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 18¢
No 82¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.

ChinamissileGeopolitics
timeline
opened · Jul 8, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
China ballistic missile launch by December 31? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
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