event12 outcomes

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 05:00 UTC on 6 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 12 markets in “Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?” on Polymarket are “Somaliland” at 11%, “Jordan” at 7% (-1pp in 24h) and “Lebanon” at 5%. The event has $6.6k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.

vol cum

$1.9M

vol 24h

$6.6k

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

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showing 5 of 12

PoliticsMiddle EastGazaWorldGeopoliticsIsraelAbraham Accords

marketselected outcome

Somaliland

rank #1

Somalia

11¢

▼ 0.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$124.7k

vol 24h

spread

0.06

ends

Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

timeline

opened · Dec 31, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2027

Somaliland · prices over time

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